Colorado's 5th Congressional District
81%
GOP
19%Dem
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +9.6·80% of simulations: R +24.3 to D +5.1
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +8.6
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +4.1
National Environment
current political climate
D +2.9
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.2
Forecasted margin
R +9.6
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | N | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Global Strategy Group | Nov 3, 2025 | R +3 | 450 | lv |
What Changes the Forecast
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
D (blue) and R (red) win probability over time
D 19%
R 81%
Race Details
- Expert Ratings
- District Lean
- This district leans Republican (R+9).
- Candidates
- Jessica Killin (D) Jeff Crank (R) (inc.)