Florida's 13th Congressional District
85%
GOP
15%Dem
Range of Outcomes
Median outcome: R +10.4·80% of simulations: R +23.6 to D +2.7
How We Got This
Partisan Lean
how the seat votes compared with the nation
R +11.0
Fundamentals
candidates, fundraising, experts
R +2.9
National Environment
current political climate
D +2.6
Polls
recent state and district polling
D +0.9
Forecasted margin
R +10.4
Polls
Polls (1)
| Pollster | Date | Margin | N | Sample |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | May 20, 2026 | R +2 | 616 | rv |
What Changes the Forecast
What Changes the Forecast
Some high quality polling would significantly sharpen this forecast.
Forecast Over Time
Forecast Over Time
D (blue) and R (red) win probability over time
D 15%
R 85%
Race Details
- Expert Ratings
- District Lean
- This district leans strongly Republican (R+12).
- Candidates
- Earle Ford (D) Anna Paulina Luna (R) (inc.)