SOLID PURPLE

A forecast of the 2024 u.S. Presidential and Congressional elections

PRESIDENT

Kamala Harris has a 56% chance of winning the Electoral College while Donald Trump has a 44% chance.

Kamala Harris is projected to win the national popular vote by 2.9%.

SENATE

Republicans have a 64% chance of retaking the chamber while Democrats have a 36% chance to maintain control.

Republicans are projected to hold 51-56 seats after the election.

HOUSE

Democrats have a 51% of retaking the chamber while Republicans have a 49% chance to maintain control.

Democrats are projected to hold 205-238 seats after the election.

Blog: "With Two Months to Go, What If the Election Were Held Today?"

〰️

Blog: "With Two Months to Go, What If the Election Were Held Today?" 〰️