SOLID PURPLE
A forecast of the 2024 u.S. Presidential and Congressional elections
LIVE FORECAST
Last update: 1:25 AM EST, 11/6/24
Odds of Democratic Control
PRESIDENT
Kamala Harris has a 55% chance of winning the Electoral College while Donald Trump has a 45% chance.
Kamala Harris is projected to win the national popular vote by 3.0%.
SENATE
Republicans have a 71% chance of retaking the chamber while Democrats have a 29% chance to maintain control.
Republicans are projected to hold 51-54 seats after the election.
HOUSE
Democrats have a 50% of retaking the chamber while Republicans have a 50% chance to maintain control.
Democrats are projected to hold 207-234 seats after the election.