SOLID PURPLE

A forecast of the 2024 u.S. Presidential and Congressional elections

LIVE FORECAST

Last update: 1:25 AM EST, 11/6/24

Odds of Democratic Control

PRESIDENT

Kamala Harris has a 55% chance of winning the Electoral College while Donald Trump has a 45% chance.

Kamala Harris is projected to win the national popular vote by 3.0%.

SENATE

Republicans have a 71% chance of retaking the chamber while Democrats have a 29% chance to maintain control.

Republicans are projected to hold 51-54 seats after the election.

HOUSE

Democrats have a 50% of retaking the chamber while Republicans have a 50% chance to maintain control.

Democrats are projected to hold 207-234 seats after the election.