Maine SENATE

Angus King has a 98% chance of winning while Demi Kouzounas has a 2% chance.

Assuming no candidate reaches 50% before the final vote reallocation (Maine uses a ranked choice voting system), Angus King is projected to win the popular vote by 21.1%.

For comparison, Susan Collins won the popular vote by 8.6% in 2020, though her lead could have shifted substantially had she not cleared 50% before the final round.